In the world scenario that has emerged today in Covid-19
situation, the speculations of third world war going on since mid 1980s are now
trending to reality. Alongwith other scholars, BBC journalist Humphrey Hawksley
in his novel ‘The Third World War’ first published in 2003 has presented
interesting analysis as to how the dangerous acts of China, Pak and North Korea
lead to start of this war resulting in end of these dangerous designers. In
this novel he has mentioned the significant role of the air base of
Gorakhpur too. Another author Aniruddha D. Joshi in his book ‘Third World
War’ published in 2006 as a series of articles estimates the timing of this war
as near about 2026-2031.
The American economist of Indian origin Dr. Ravi Batra in
his analysis of trade cycles in USA also indicates its timing as during
2029-2036 in his famous books ‘The Great Depression of 1990’ and ‘Surviving
Great Depression of 1990’. But dreams in novels or analyses of trends need not
go with perfect accuracy. The dream of ship wreck as imagined in a novella ‘Futility’
written by Morgan Robertson published in 1898 (and revised as The Wreck of the
Titan in 1912) has been famous for its
similarities with sinking of the real RMS Titanic, a British passenger
liner in the North Atlantic Ocean 14 years later in April 2012 was bound to
have some differences in description. Such descriptions are not so important as
their accuracy may be affected by the actual acts of the real players. But
their indications are important.
Today the well-meaning people all over the world and
their governments are themselves readily willing to support India in their
fight against terrorist and anti-human forces mainly due to the dangerous
designs and activities of governments of China and also Pakistan, North Korea
and even Nepal. It is a good signal for India. India should not waste this
great opportunity which will not come time and again. We need to be really
aggressive in our defense and external strategies as the Prime Minister
Modi has exhorted in his Leh address recalling Lord Krishna on July 4 saying,
‘This is the era of development, not expansionism’. Such assertiveness should
reflect & go on in actuality. We need to be quite clear and articulate in
our foreign policy with broad strategic objectives and not just narrow
calculations of national profit.
Our position so for has been highly defensive. We could
not dare to initiate diplomatic relations with Taiwan just to avoid displeasure
of China. But now India should support, persuade and champion the world
community to recognize Hongkong, Tibbet, Baluchistan, Pakhtunistan, South
Mongolia, East Turkestan, Manchuria as independent countries with provisional
governments. The tyrannies of China and North Korea cannot be left out merely
as internal matters with false notions of national sovereignty. A large China
is always danger to the whole world. Same is applicable to all religious as
well as narrow sentimental and ideological fanaticism devoid of and opposing
science and technology. Such dangerous narrow sentiments need to be crushed by
the world community ruthlessly. Nationalism and communism have been used by
autocrats as tools of power capturing and perpetuation.
By taking clear position on these issues and going with
the people of the world, opportunities will arise on their own for solving the
issues of Pak Occupied Kashmir, Aksai Chin, Arunanchal Pradesh, Nepal and
Bhutan. Such issues cannot be so easily solved through nationalism. Nationalism
has always invited bloody wars, speedy destructions, slow but tormenting
disturbances and restart of another series of imperialism, expansionism,
subjugation and exploitation. Nationalism can’t work in the present world
situation. It is not effective enough to protect the national interests and
rather it is inimical to it.
USA has been frequently accused for disintegration of the
Soviet Union during 1987-91. But could America really do so against such a
mighty superpower. The reality is: It was the amalgam of Russian nationalism
and communism which was regularly and blindly used by the Soviet dictators
right from V. I. Lenin to suppress the local aspirations, issues and needs as
well as hiding maximum information in the name of national interest; and it was
this amalgam which led to very poor quality in manufacturing and low
productivity in rural soviets—all this led to high frustration among the soviet
masses. This issue combined with the vote politics of same Russian dictators to
allow members of the Soviet confederation like Ukraine, Ajarbaizan, etc., to
vote in the UN assembly as separate nations. Had the Unite States of America
also adopted similar policy and allowed its 50 states voting in the UN as
separate nations, USA could also have suffered the same fate easily long ago.
Hence whatever happened with the USSR was solely due to the narrowisms of its
own dictators and none else could be capable to do so.
The similar
amalgam of nationalism and communism has long been used by the Chinese
dictators and more so during the present Xi Jinping regime again leading to
same phenomena of hiding all information from its own people & also
misleading the world community; similar poor quality; patents and human rights
violations; same high frustration among the masses; and disturbing the neighbouring countries.
Hence China has to break away anyhow due to acts of its bullet oriented dictators.
All this has converged into the current covid pandemic and thus inviting the
rage of the world masses. America and its allies have got the best opportunity
to encash upon it in global well-being.
Pakistan has
also emerged similarly as a danger to थे whole humanity due to its religious fanaticism, open support
by its government and military to Islamic terrorism, it’s dangerous designs
through strong collaboration with China and misleading the world community. It
is a failed destructive state, hence it should also be now forced to disperse
as a nation. North Korea should be freed from the clutches of its
autocratic regime and better be forced to merge with South Korea. All these can
now be done within a short span keeping in mind the readiness of the enraged
world community in present. Initial focus should be limited to handling the
two most irresponsible ones--China and Pakistan. Any other sympathizing
with them should also be within purview when required.
National sovereighties have always obstructed the
efficacy of United Nations, World Trade Organisation, Security Council, WHO and
so many other so called world bodies by reducing them to mere treaty status
subject to convenience and mercy of sovereignties of the powerful nations. National sovereignty needs to be put in sub-servience
to world governance as well as peace and welfare of the world community, else
it will always create dangers to world peace and security as has been indicated
earlier. History has also shown as how the powerful nations of Europe like
Germany, France, Britain, Spain, Portugal, Italy, etc. first propagated their
national sovereighties, then promoted imperialism and thereafter perpetuated
colonialism for hundreds of years—all in the name of rightful promotion of
their national interests. The same has
been done in the 20th Century by the USA and Russia along with
allies of each other during the second world war and thereafter during the cold
war days. Now China with its allies is doing the same in extremely
irresponsible and dangerous manner. The world organizations like the UNO have been
so far bound to honor the mutually contradictory and clashful national
sovereignties making these bodies ineffective. Hence, India should also
persuade America and its allies to materialize the collective mind of the world
community into a formalized really representative, responsible and
responsive world government overriding the national sovereignties.
Now let us again come back to the outrage of the people
all over the world against the autocracies and terrorism supporting governments
this time mainly by way of Covid-19. An effective and lasting solution to
their irresponsible and dangerous acts is needed not only as a lesson to
them but also as a learning to all such other self-centered and self-imposing extremist
dogmatic and exploitative tendencies. To minimize losses during the forthcoming
great global venture it is necessary for Indian and also European leaderships
to remove the misunderstandings of Russia about the role of the USA in
disintegration of USSR as well as persuade the USA to reduce its selfish capitalist
and pseudo-capitalist tendencies so that hesitation of Russia in cooperation
with America against the dangerous designs of tyrants as mentioned earlier may
go wane and both may cooperate with well meaning people of the world. Their clashes
for hegemony and supremacy over the world are not good in global search for peace,
collective welfare and cooperation.
If Russian government does not cooperate even after all persuasions of welfare & peace oriented countries, it will invite rage of its own people. One should not forget that USSR was the largest nuclear power with four times more arsenals when it got disintegrated in 1991. Being a nuclear power is no existential guarantee for any government or country—this is a great learning particularly for China and its allies. After all, this time is a worthy opportunity for lasting world peace and welfare. This opportunity should be utilized strongly and speedily.
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